Economics Prediction Markets
Economics prediction markets turn the next data release into a tradable number: Fed rate decisions, CPI prints, recession calls and jobs reports. The price is the market’s live read on what the Fed and the data will actually do — often ahead of the consensus forecast. Back your view, or watch where the money sits.
What are Economics prediction markets?
Economics prediction markets price the next data release before it lands. You can trade Fed rate decisions, CPI and inflation prints, jobs reports, GDP and recession calls — each as a simple yes/no contract that settles on the official number. The price is the market’s live read on what the data and the Fed will actually do, and it often moves ahead of the published consensus.
For macro traders that makes these markets both a hedge and a signal: a Fed-cut contract at 30¢ implies a roughly 30% chance of a cut, updating in real time as speeches, prints and futures move. Because outcomes settle on hard data, resolution is clean and disputes are rare.
Where to trade Economics markets
The deepest economics markets trade on Kalshi and Polymarket. New accounts can compare current sign-up offers on our bonuses page, or see how every platform stacks up in our full reviews. New to this? Start with what a prediction market is.
Economics markets FAQ
What economic events can I trade?
Fed meetings, CPI and PCE inflation, nonfarm payrolls, unemployment, GDP and recession calls are the most liquid.
How is this different from futures?
Event contracts are simple binary yes/no positions priced from $0 to $1, rather than leveraged futures — easier to size and read as probabilities.
Which platform is best for economics?
Kalshi has the broadest macro slate; see our Kalshi review.