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Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Predictions

The market saysProbably yes88% YES
YES 88%
12% NO

A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 88% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →

Platform
Polymarket
Volume
$513,104 volume
Resolves
31 Dec 2026
Updated
1 month ago

Traders on Polymarket currently price Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? at 88% — strongly favored. The figure reflects real money changing hands, not a poll, so it moves as new information lands.

How it resolves

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United…

The market is scheduled to settle on 31 Dec 2026. Until then the price is the live read on the question — worth watching, not a guarantee.

FAQ

What does a 88% price mean?

It is the market-implied probability. A 88% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 88% likely.

How does this market resolve?

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime terri

Where can I trade it?

This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.

What world markets can I trade?

Foreign elections, conflicts and ceasefires, leadership changes, sanctions and major treaties.

Are these reliable forecasts?

They reflect real money at stake, which tends to make them sharper than punditry — but they’re probabilities, not certainties.

Where can I trade world events?

Polymarket has the deepest global markets and Kalshi covers many too — see our reviews.

What is a prediction market?

A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →

How do the odds work?

Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →

Trade this on Polymarket →

Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.