Would you bet…
Istanbul 2: Anastasia Zakharova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 9% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $168,520 volume
- Resolves
- 25 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Zakharova is a long shot at 9%, with 91% backing Vandewinkel. The market has in recent trading, reflecting modest conviction either way on a matchup between two players outside the top tier. $169k in total volume suggests this is not drawing outsized attention.
The price itself is doing the analytical work here. A 9-to-91 split typically reflects either a clear ranking difference or recent form that traders trust. Without live data on head-to-head records, current rankings, or recent results, the market is pricing Vandewinkel as the stronger player by a wide margin. Any shift would likely come from news—injury, withdrawal, a notable recent result—rather than from the match itself being newly competitive on paper.
This resolves on 25 July 2026 via Polymarket. Bettors betting 9% are taking a contrarian position; any movement toward Zakharova would need material evidence she’s being underestimated here. For now, the market is stable and the odds are steep.
FAQ
What does a 9% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 9% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 9% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Zakharova and Hanne Vandewinkel in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Zakharova' if Anastasia Zakharova advances against Hanne Vandewinkel. This market will resolve to
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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