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Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 41% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $7,589,569 volume
- Resolves
- 14 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 2 days ago
Djokovic is priced as 59%, leaving Auger-Aliassime at 41%—an underdog entry into a scheduled Wimbledon first-round matchup. $7.59M in volume suggests modest liquidity for a market on a match eighteen months out. in recent trading, a sign that traders has held waiting for firmer data on fitness and seeding.
The gap reflects what the rankings will likely show at draw time: Djokovic’s baseline expectation on grass, even at his age, against a Canadian ranked well below him. Auger-Aliassime has never cracked a Grand Slam final and does not play Djokovic’s peak grass game. The price bakes in routine Djokovic advancement.
Shifts will follow injury reports, pre-Wimbledon tournaments, and draw confirmation. A run to a lead-up final by Auger-Aliassime or news of Djokovic managing a chronic injury could compress the gap. For now, 41% reflects outsider odds—technically live but not favored by the market’s read of this matchup.
FAQ
What does a 41% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 41% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 41% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Novak Djokovic. This market will resolve t
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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