Would you bet…
Bastad: Lisa Zaar vs Varvara Lepchenko Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 34% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $160,617 volume
- Resolves
- 13 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 2 days ago
34% prices Zaar as an underdog in this Bastad matchup. The market has in recent trading, though with $161k in total volume the tape is thin enough that modest money could has held either side. The setup is straightforward: a hard-court clay tournament match where surface and recent form will dominate outcome probability.
The price reflects what’s knowable from recent results and head-to-head record. Zaar would need either a significant form edge or favorable matchup dynamics to close a gap that wide. Watch for late movement tied to practice-court reads or lineup confirmation closer to the 13 July 2026 date. Any injury news or withdrawal would collapse the market into a cancellation resolution.
This settles on Polymarket once the match concludes or the cancellation window closes. Until then, the 34% price remains a live market read—not a forecast, but a real-time distillation of what traders believe about two players on a specific court on a specific day.
FAQ
What does a 34% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 34% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 34% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Lisa Zaar and Varvara Lepchenko in the Bastad, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Zaar' if Lisa Zaar advances against Varvara Lepchenko. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Lepchenko' if Varvara Lepc
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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