Would you bet…
Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 6% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $291,680 volume
- Resolves
- 8 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 1 week ago
Yastremska is a long shot at 6%, with the market assigning Bouzas Maneiro the heavy favorite at 94%. The pricing reflects a significant gap in seeding or recent form, though in recent trading suggests the market has held recently. At $292k in volume, there is modest liquidity to test conviction on either side.
The gap between these odds implies a clear performance expectation: either Yastremska enters Wimbledon with recent losses or injury concerns, or Bouzas Maneiro has demonstrated superior hard-court or grass-court results heading into the draw. To move 6% materially, you would need evidence of Yastremska’s fitness, a recent tournament win, or Bouzas Maneiro struggling in tune-up events. Conversely, 94% could tighten if Yastremska shows improved form in the week before play.
This market 8 July 2026 on the outcome of the match scheduled for 8 July 2026, with trading on Polymarket. The odds reflect a live forecast, not a prediction; as match day approaches and closer looks at form emerge, repricing is normal.
FAQ
What does a 6% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 6% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 6% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro. This market will resol
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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