Would you bet…
Istanbul 2: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Harmony Tan Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 93% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $29,919 volume
- Resolves
- 23 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
The market prices Vandewinkel as strongly favored, with 93% backing her to advance. Volume sits at $30k, in recent trading has held. At these odds, the market is assigning Tan only 7% probability—a steep discount that reflects either a substantial skill gap, recent form, or head-to-head history favoring Vandewinkel.
To move this market materially, you’d need new information: injury news on either player, a shift in court conditions that favors Tan’s style, or betting activity from sharps who see value in the underdog. The thin volume relative to the confidence level suggests limited liquidity; a meaningful position could shift the line before the July 16 match.
These odds are a snapshot, not a forecast. Vandewinkel is clearly preferred, but 7% still represents a live outcome. Watch for late movement if either player’s status becomes uncertain.
FAQ
What does a 93% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 93% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 93% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Hanne Vandewinkel and Harmony Tan in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hanne Vandewinkel' if Hanne Vandewinkel advances against Harmony Tan. This market will resolve to 'Harmony Tan' if H
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.