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Istanbul 2: Vendula Valdmannova vs Aliona Falei Predictions

The market saysProbably yes88% YES
YES 88%
12% NO

A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 88% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →

Platform
Polymarket
Volume
$99,641 volume
Resolves
24 Jul 2026
Updated
3 months ago

Valdmannova is strongly favored at 88% to advance past Falei in this Istanbul 2 matchup. $100k in volume suggests moderate interest, though in recent trading has held recently. The price embeds a strong confidence in the higher seed or a significant gap in recent form or head-to-head record—the kind of gap that leaves little room for upset.

To move this market materially, you’d need either late injury news, a sharp reversal in either player’s recent results, or specific court conditions (surface, conditions, draw position) that favor the underdog more than the current odds reflect. Cancellation or delay beyond July 24 would trigger the tie-break clause and void the market.

At 88%, this is a live price: it reflects what traders know now about these two players heading into a specific match on a specific date. Monitor draw announcements and any last-minute fitness updates in the 48 hours before play.

FAQ

What does a 88% price mean?

It is the market-implied probability. A 88% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 88% likely.

How does this market resolve?

This market refers to the tennis match between Vendula Valdmannova and Aliona Falei in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vendula Valdmannova' if Vendula Valdmannova advances against Aliona Falei. This market will resolve to 'Aliona Fa

Where can I trade it?

This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.

Is this the same as sports betting?

Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.

Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?

Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.

Best platforms for sports?

Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.

What is a prediction market?

A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →

How do the odds work?

Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →

Trade this on Polymarket →

Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.