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Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 61% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $935,414 volume
- Resolves
- 8 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 1 week ago
Coco Gauff is priced at 39%, making a Sierra upset the favorite at 61%. With $935k in volume, the market has in recent trading and has held recently, suggesting modest conviction either way.
The gap reflects the ranking and recent form gap between them. Gauff enters as the higher seed and more accomplished player on grass; Sierra would need to execute a near-flawless match to advance. The 61% price accounts for the small but real possibility of an upset—Wimbledon upsets happen, conditions can favor an underdog’s game, and single-set swings matter in early rounds.
Movement toward 61% would likely come from injury reports affecting Gauff or unexpected form signals during warm-up play. A shift toward 39% would reflect confirmation of Gauff’s fitness or a poor outing by Sierra in a lead-up event. Until the match begins on 8 July 2026, this price is a live read on the matchup as currently constituted.
FAQ
What does a 61% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 61% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 61% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Solana Sierra and Coco Gauff in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Solana Sierra' if Solana Sierra advances against Coco Gauff. This market will resolve to 'Coco Gauff' if Coco Gauff adv
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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