Would you bet…
Contrexeville: Mayar Sherif vs Leolia Jeanjean Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 81% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $133,346 volume
- Resolves
- 18 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Mayar Sherif is strongly favored at 81% to advance past Leolia Jeanjean at Contrexeville. The market has in recent trading, and has held recently on $133k in volume.
At this price, the market is pricing Sherif as a clear favorite—a gap of roughly 60 percentage points suggests either a substantial difference in seeding, ranking, or recent form, or that one player carries injury or other external uncertainty. To move this line materially, you’d need new information about either player’s fitness, a significant upset result in a prior match, or shift in public perception of their head-to-head record. Until such data surface, the current 81% reflects the consensus view among active traders.
The market settles on 18 July 2026 and sources its data from Polymarket. Note the cancellation clause: if the match doesn’t occur within 7 days of the scheduled July 11, 2026 date, or ends without a winner, the market resolves to no contest. That tail risk is baked into the current odds.
FAQ
What does a 81% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 81% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 81% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Mayar Sherif and Leolia Jeanjean in the Contrexeville, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mayar Sherif' if Mayar Sherif advances against Leolia Jeanjean. This market will resolve to 'Leolia Jeanjean' if
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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