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Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 34% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $1,006,617 volume
- Resolves
- 10 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 5 days ago
Samsonova is priced as an underdog at 34%, with Bouzkova favored at 66%. The market has seen $1.01M in total trading, though in recent trading has held in the past week. The pricing reflects a significant gap in perceived likelihood between the two players.
Samsonova’s relatively modest odds suggest the market views her as the less likely victor in this matchup. To move her price higher, bettors would need to see shifts in recent form, injury status, or head-to-head records closer to the July 3 date. Conversely, any question marks about Bouzkova’s fitness or recent results could compress the spread. Wimbledon’s grass surface, draw position, and momentum in the weeks preceding the match will all factor into whether this gap holds or tightens.
This is a live market read, not a prediction. The current pricing reflects available information as of now—expect it to move as we approach the match and as new data about both players emerges.
FAQ
What does a 34% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 34% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 34% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Liudmila Samsonova and Marie Bouzkova in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Marie Bouzkova. This market will resolve to 'Marie
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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