Would you bet…
Bastad: Sinja Kraus vs Yulia Putintseva Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 18% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $47,989 volume
- Resolves
- 16 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 1 day ago
Putintseva is a long shot here, priced at 82% to advance past Kraus in Bastad. The market has in recent trading with $48k traded, suggesting modest conviction either way on a matchup between a qualifier and a seeded player.
The pricing reflects a significant edge to Putintseva, a veteran with ranking depth who has played high-level WTA competition. Kraus, the underdog at 18%, would need to execute a clean match and capitalize on any openings to justify a tighter match odds. Recent form, head-to-head history if any exists, and court conditions at the Swedish clay event would all shape how much ground Kraus can cover.
What moves this further: injury updates, late betting from sharper players who may have better intel on Kraus’s condition or recent practice patterns, or early-match results that shift confidence in one player’s clay-court comfort. For now, 82% reflects the baseline expectation—but tennis upsets happen often enough that 18% remains live at a long shot odds.
FAQ
What does a 18% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 18% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 18% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Sinja Kraus and Yulia Putintseva in the Bastad, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' if Sinja Kraus advances against Yulia Putintseva. This market will resolve to 'Yulia Putintseva' if Yulia Put
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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