Would you bet…
Bastad: Sinja Kraus vs Caijsa Hennemann Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 94% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $82,498 volume
- Resolves
- 15 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 2 days ago
Sinja Kraus is strongly favored here at 94%, a steep markup over her opponent. $82k in total volume suggests modest liquidity for a women’s tennis matchup at Bastad. in recent trading has held, which is typical of a market this thin—real money moves the needle.
The price reflects a straightforward read: Kraus enters as the stronger player on paper. To move 6% materially higher, traders would need to see either late injury news on Kraus, recent form data favoring Hennemann, or head-to-head history that contradicts the current seeding. Tennis odds at this level often track ranking tighter than court performance, so any surface-specific edge or fitness surprise could shift the market.
This is live pricing on a July 2026 matchup; the further out we are, the more provisional these numbers are. 94% is what the market says today, not a guarantee.
FAQ
What does a 94% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 94% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 94% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Sinja Kraus and Caijsa Hennemann in the Bastad, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' if Sinja Kraus advances against Caijsa Hennemann. This market will resolve to 'Caijsa Hennemann' if Caijsa He
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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