Would you bet…
Rome: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Federica Urgesi Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 11% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $43,019 volume
- Resolves
- 20 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Kotliar is a long shot at 11%, with the market heavily favoring Urgesi at 89%. There is $43k in total volume, though in recent trading since the original scheduling.
The pricing reflects a significant gap in perceived quality or form between the two players. Tennis markets this lopsided typically rest on concrete differences: ranking, recent results, head-to-head record, or injury status. Without those details confirmed here, the 11% price suggests the market sees Kotliar as a clear underdog. The match settles on 20 July 2026 and sources pricing from Polymarket.
Movement would likely come from late news—withdrawals, confirmed injuries, or upset results by either player in warm-up events—rather than gradual repricing. Until then, 11% reflects a long-shot position. Remember that a price is a live read of current belief, not a guarantee of outcome.
FAQ
What does a 11% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 11% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 11% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Yelyzaveta Kotliar and Federica Urgesi in the Rome, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yelyzaveta Kotliar' if Yelyzaveta Kotliar advances against Federica Urgesi. This market will resolve to 'Federica Urg
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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