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Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 42% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $1,265,039 volume
- Resolves
- 23 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 1 month ago
Paula Badosa is 58% to advance, pricing Ibragimova as an underdog. The market has in recent trading recently, and liquidity sits at $1.27M, modest for a top-40 matchup. The odds reflect Badosa’s ranking and recent form advantage—she has been a consistent competitor on the WTA circuit, while Ibragimova plays primarily on the ITF and lower-tier events. Badosa should be favored in a straight sets or two-set scenario.
What moves this further: a significant injury announcement to either player pre-match, or fresh ranking shifts in the week before July 16. Court surface (hard courts at Iasi) doesn’t strongly favor either player. The 42% price for Ibragimova implies roughly 1-in-6 odds—realistic only if Badosa enters the match compromised or Ibragimova produces a career-best week leading up to it. Neither is priced in yet.
This market 23 July 2026 on Polymarket. The 7-day cancellation threshold is the main tail risk; monitor the tour schedule for delays.
FAQ
What does a 42% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 42% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 42% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Alevtina Ibragimova and Paula Badosa in the Iasi Open, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alevtina Ibragimova' if Alevtina Ibragimova advances against Paula Badosa. This market will resolve to 'Paula Bado
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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