Would you bet…
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 92% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $339,771 volume
- Resolves
- 20 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Badosa is strongly favored here at 92%, implying a clear edge over Kalinina in the eyes of the market. The match itself remains lightly traded at $340k, which means the price could shift meaningfully on modest action. in recent trading suggests the market has has held since listing, though without fresh injury news or recent head-to-head results reshaping the conversation, movement has been muted.
What matters in these matchups: Badosa’s surface preference (hard courts favor her more than clay), her ranking relative to Kalinina’s, and recent form in the weeks leading to Iasi. Any news of injury, withdrawal, or a tuneup loss beforehand would be the primary lever to move this price materially. The 8% side at 8% is a rational hedge for anyone expecting an upset or accounting for the low-volume risk that information arrives late.
This market resolves cleanly if the match is played to a conclusion on or near the July 13 date. The real tail risk is cancellation or delay beyond a week—a less common but real possibility on the tour. As it stands, 92% reflects what the available data supports, though $340k means traders should expect wider swings than a liquid market would show.
FAQ
What does a 92% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 92% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 92% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Anhelina Kalinina in the Iasi Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Anhelina Kalinina. This market will resolve to 'Anhelina Kalinina' if
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.