Would you bet…
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 96% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $356,386 volume
- Resolves
- 26 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
The Mets are all but certain at 96%, implying a lean but not commanding edge over the Phillies in this July 19 matchup. The market has has held in recent trading, suggesting modest conviction either way so far. At $356k in volume, this is a thin liquidity pool—typical for a single game—which means sharp money could move the price if new information arrives before first pitch at 1:35 PM ET.
The spread between 96% and 4% leaves room for either team. Mets backers are pricing in a modest favorite, but the gap is narrow enough that late-breaking news on starting pitchers, injuries, or weather could swing traders meaningfully. Watch for line movement if a key player is ruled out or if one rotation arm is unexpectedly unavailable.
This resolves 26 July 2026 on Polymarket. The 50-50 tie clause is operative only if the game is canceled outright with no makeup; postponements keep the market alive. Until game time, 96% reflects a slight lean but not a strong conviction—a price to check against your own read of the matchup.
FAQ
What does a 96% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 96% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 96% likely.
How does this market resolve?
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 19 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the ga
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.