Would you bet…
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 13% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $889,679 volume
- Resolves
- 12 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 5 days ago
The market prices a Mets win at 13%, a long shot. There’s $890k in volume, though in recent trading has held over the past week. The Braves enter as heavy favorites—a reading that typically reflects either stronger talent, better form, or both.
To move this price meaningfully, you’d need either news that shifts the pitching matchup (injuries, unexpected starts), or a sharp move in public betting that signals new information. The resolution hinges on a single July 4 game at 8:08 PM ET; if weather or other circumstances cancel it outright with no makeup, the market splits 50-50. Postponements keep it live until completion.
At 13%, the market is making a straightforward claim about relative strength. That’s a live read, not a forecast—it reflects what traders willing to put money down believe right now, which is different from what will actually happen.
FAQ
What does a 13% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 13% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 13% likely.
How does this market resolve?
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 4 at 8:08PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.