Would you bet…
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 93% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $771,336 volume
- Resolves
- 14 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 2 days ago
The market prices Kansas City as strongly favored, with 93% backing a Royals win on Polymarket. That valuation has has held in recent trading, and $771k in volume reflects modest interest in what appears a routine regular-season matchup.
The price itself is the market’s honest read: the Mets are favored, and the Royals’ odds sit where they sit because of the teams’ relative strength, recent form, and ballpark factors on July 7. What would shift it? A surprise injury report, weather delays that favor one lineup’s depth, or unexpected lineup adjustments ahead of first pitch. Until then, 93% is what bettors willing to back the underdog are currently being offered.
Check the resolution criteria: the market settles on 14 July 2026 and stays open if postponed. A tie or cancellation splits the pot 50-50. For a live game with two defined outcomes, this is a clean binary—useful for those with genuine information about either team’s edge on the day.
FAQ
What does a 93% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 93% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 93% likely.
How does this market resolve?
In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and New York Mets, scheduled for July 7 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is post
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.