Would you bet…
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 79% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $451,597 volume
- Resolves
- 19 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
The market is strongly favored, pricing the Red Sox at 79% to win this July 12 matchup against the Mets. That’s a roughly 4-to-1 proposition in Boston’s favor. Trading volume sits at $452k, a modest clip that suggests limited conviction either way despite the lopsided odds.
in recent trading has held, which tells us where the smart money has been leaning. The gap between 79% and 21% is wide enough to reflect a real edge—either recent form, pitching matchups, or ballpark factors are driving the Red Sox preference. To move this price materially, you’d need fresh injury news, a surprise lineup change, or late weather developments that favor one team’s style of play.
At these odds, you’re betting on a clear favorite in a single game where variance always has a say. The market settles on 19 July 2026 via Polymarket, so the rules are clean: win or lose, no ambiguity. This is a live read of where bettors see the game right now, not a prediction.
FAQ
What does a 79% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 79% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 79% likely.
How does this market resolve?
In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Mets, scheduled for July 12 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.