Would you bet…
ITF Rochester: Maxime St-Hilaire vs Joaquim Almeida Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 31% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $36,020 volume
- Resolves
- 22 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
St-Hilaire is trading as an underdog at 31%, with the field favoring Almeida at 69%. in recent trading on the market since it opened, though volume remains modest at $36k. The pricing gap suggests confidence in Almeida, but without recent head-to-head history or public ranking data readily available, the market is pricing on limited information—a common state for lower-tier ITF events.
What would move this: a sharp drop in St-Hilaire odds would require either public injury news, a recent loss to a comparable opponent, or updated seeding information favoring Almeida. Conversely, St-Hilaire support would build on evidence of form, surface comfort (clay/hard court preference), or head-to-head advantage. The match settles on 22 July 2026, and any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days triggers a no-resolution clause.
For a match this deep in the draw, liquidity is light and the odds reflect guesswork as much as edge. The current read is a live snapshot, not a prediction.
FAQ
What does a 31% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 31% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 31% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxime St-Hilaire and Joaquim Almeida in the ITF Men Rochester, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxime St-Hilaire' if Maxime St-Hilaire advances against Joaquim Almeida. This market will resolve to 'Jo
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.