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ITF Kramsach: Luca Staeheli vs Matyas Kozlovsky Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 94% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $25,274 volume
- Resolves
- 22 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Staeheli is strongly favored, priced at 94% on Polymarket with $25k in volume. The market has held in recent trading, reflecting confidence in the Swiss player to advance past Kozlovsky in this ITF Men’s Kramsach matchup.
At this price, the market is saying Staeheli has roughly a 94% win probability—a decisive edge. That kind of compression typically signals either a clear ranking differential, recent form advantage, or head-to-head history favoring the favorite. Without live rating data or prior meetings in hand, the price itself is the fullest statement of what the market knows. Kozlovsky at 6% would need either a surprise upset or new information about Staeheli’s fitness or readiness to shift the dial materially.
The match settles on 22 July 2026 via Polymarket. Watch for any cancellation, delay beyond a week, or unexpected withdrawal—those scenarios would void the binary. For now, the odds reflect a one-way read. A price this tight leaves little room for Kozlovsky; a move toward him would signal real doubt about the favorite.
FAQ
What does a 94% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 94% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 94% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Staeheli and Matyas Kozlovsky in the ITF Men Kramsach, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Matyas Kozlovsky. This market will resolve to 'Matyas Kozlov
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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