Would you bet…
ITF Granby: Erika Sema vs Cadence Brace Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 24% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $107,223 volume
- Resolves
- 23 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Erika Sema is a long shot here, priced at 24%. The market has in recent trading, suggesting has held conviction either way since the match was announced. With $107k in volume, liquidity is moderate enough to move the needle on fresh information.
The price reflects significant doubt about Sema’s chances against Brace in this ITF Women’s Granby matchup. To shift it meaningfully upward, you’d need credible evidence of Sema’s form heading into the July 16 contest—recent wins, head-to-head history favoring her, or injury news about Brace. Conversely, 76% holds through indifference: absent new data, the underdog stays discounted.
One structural risk: the match resolves null if canceled, delayed beyond seven days without a result, or ending in a tie. That tail risk is baked into current pricing but worth noting. Until we see recent results from either player or draw-sheet confirmation, this is a live-read price on incomplete information. The market will likely tighten closer to match day.
FAQ
What does a 24% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 24% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 24% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Erika Sema and Cadence Brace in the ITF Women Granby, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Erika Sema' if Erika Sema advances against Cadence Brace. This market will resolve to 'Cadence Brace' if Cadence Br
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.