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ITF Tokyo: Makoto Ochi vs Kasidit Samrej Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 74% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $34,416 volume
- Resolves
- 16 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 23 hours ago
Makoto Ochi is the favorite at 74% to advance past Kasidit Samrej in this ITF Men’s Tokyo match. The market has in recent trading, reflecting modest conviction either way. With $34k in total volume, liquidity is thin enough that fresh information could has held the price materially.
At these odds, the market is pricing in a significant edge for Samrej. That read makes sense only if Samrej holds a clear advantage in ranking, recent form, or head-to-head record—or if Ochi is dealing with injury or other known friction. Without confirmed details on either player’s current status, the price sits as a live estimate rather than a settled judgment. Traders holding strong conviction on either side have room to move it.
The match 16 July 2026 via Polymarket. Any delay beyond seven days without a winner triggers a no-contest resolution, a tail risk worth noting in thin markets. Watch for late lineup or condition announcements; they often shake modest-volume ITF markets.
FAQ
What does a 74% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 74% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 74% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Makoto Ochi and Kasidit Samrej in the ITF Men Tokyo, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Makoto Ochi' if Makoto Ochi advances against Kasidit Samrej. This market will resolve to 'Kasidit Samrej' if Kasidit
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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