Would you bet…
ITF Louisville: Marko Mesarovic vs Ozan Baris Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 7% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $16,865 volume
- Resolves
- 22 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Mesarovic is a long shot at 7%, with the market pricing in a heavy favorite in Baris. $17k in total volume suggests modest liquidity for an ITF Men’s event. in recent trading indicates has held, though the thin tape makes directional reads uncertain.
The pricing reflects a gap in ranking or recent form favoring Baris, though ITF matches turn on surface preference, head-to-head history, and the particular draw. Without recent movement data, we can’t read whether traders have new information or are simply repricing based on entry patterns. The match 22 July 2026 via Polymarket, with cancellation or delay beyond seven days triggering a null rather than a binary outcome.
At 7%, Mesarovic offers the classic long-shot profile: small edge in the market, but live upside if he performs on the day. The price is a snapshot of where money landed, not a forecast. Injury reports, court surface conditions, or late-breaking form swings could shift this materially in either direction before the scheduled July 15 start.
FAQ
What does a 7% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 7% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 7% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Mesarovic and Ozan Baris in the ITF Men Louisville, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marko Mesarovic' if Marko Mesarovic advances against Ozan Baris. This market will resolve to 'Ozan Baris' if O
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.