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ITF Monastir: Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf vs Yassine Smiej Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 41% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $16,422 volume
- Resolves
- 15 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 1 day ago
Makhlouf is priced as an underdog at 41%, with the field favoring Smiej at 59%. The market has seen in recent trading, and total volume sits at $16k—modest for a lower-tier ITF Men’s event. This is a match between players operating well outside the ATP orbit, which means sharp data on head-to-head record, recent form, and surface preference is sparse in most public sources.
The price gap suggests the market has some edge on Smiej, but without documented recent matches or rankings context, it’s hard to know if that reflects genuine form differential or simply the direction of early order flow. A move would likely follow injury news, a withdrawal, or new information about either player’s recent tournament results in the weeks before the 15 July 2026 date.
For a match at this level, the market is thin enough that confidence should be modest. The price is a live read on limited information, not a strong signal of relative strength.
FAQ
What does a 41% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 41% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 41% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf and Yassine Smiej in the ITF Men Monastir, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf' if Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf advances against Yassine Smiej. This market will resol
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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