Would you bet…
ITF Tokyo: Matthew Dellavedova vs Maximus Jones Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 91% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $18,871 volume
- Resolves
- 11 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 6 days ago
Dellavedova is strongly favored at 91% to advance, with 9% backing Jones. The market has in recent trading, and $19k has traded through Polymarket. The gap between the two prices reflects a clear expectation that Dellavedova will win the ITF Men’s Tokyo match scheduled for July 3, 2026.
Without recent head-to-head history or public ranking data readily available, the pricing likely rests on surface-level factors: Dellavedova’s name recognition, prior ATP experience (he’s best known as an NBA player turned tennis competitor), or seeding position in the draw. Jones, by contrast, remains the longer shot. What would shift this market materially: injury reports or withdrawal news, a credible ranking comparison that favors Jones, or simply fresh information about either player’s recent form on hard courts.
The resolution hinges on match completion by July 10, 2026—cancellations, ties, or unresolved delays default to no winner. At 91%, the market is pricing Dellavedova as the clear favorite, but prices are live reads, not verdicts. Watch for draw movements closer to the event date.
FAQ
What does a 91% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 91% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 91% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Dellavedova and Maximus Jones in the ITF Men Tokyo, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Maximus Jones. This market will resolve to 'Maxim
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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