Would you bet…
ITF Laval: Mikael Arseneault vs Ryan Colby Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 72% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $8,043 volume
- Resolves
- 16 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 4 minutes ago
72% says Arseneault is the favorite here, a substantial edge in a match scheduled for July 9, 2026. $8k in volume suggests modest liquidity; traders have placed real money but not poured capital in. in recent trading indicates how conviction has shifted—or held steady—over the past week.
Without recent public ranking data or head-to-head record readily available for these ITF-level competitors, the market is pricing in either Arseneault’s form, seeding, or recent results. The gap between 72% and 28% leaves room for new information: injury news, late lineup changes, or updated match analysis from the circuit could shift the odds meaningfully. ITF draws can be volatile, and upsets happen.
This market 16 July 2026 on match outcome and trades on Polymarket. The resolution rules are clean—cancellation or delay beyond seven days without a winner voids the contract. At current levels, 72% reflects genuine confidence in Arseneault, but the modest volume means a fresh influx of backing could move either side. Watch for draw-day confirmation and any late scratches.
FAQ
What does a 72% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 72% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 72% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Mikael Arseneault and Ryan Colby in the ITF Men Laval, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mikael Arseneault' if Mikael Arseneault advances against Ryan Colby. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Colby' if R
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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