Would you bet…
Exact Score: Argentina 0 – 0 Cabo Verde? Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 4% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $11,108 volume
- Resolves
- 3 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 2 weeks ago
An exact 0-0 draw between Argentina and Cabo Verde sits at 4%, a price that reads all but ruled out. With $11k in volume and in recent trading, the market has held conviction that this outcome will not happen. The gap between the two teams—Argentina ranked among the world’s best, Cabo Verde far outside the top 50—makes a scoreless tie mathematically improbable over 90 minutes.
The math here is straightforward. Argentina will likely press for goals early and often. Cabo Verde’s defensive task is enormous. A 0-0 result requires not just defensive solidity but also Argentina’s complete failure to convert chances, an outcome independent observers would price well below 4%. To move this market substantially higher, you’d need either a late team news event (injury to Argentina’s key attackers) or a significant shift in pregame expectations about either team’s approach.
The current price reflects the base case: Argentina wins, probably by multiple goals. 4% is where it belongs.
FAQ
What does a 4% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 4% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 4% likely.
How does this market resolve?
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Cabo Verde, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Argentina vs. Cabo Verde match originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 mi
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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