Would you bet…
Major League Cricket: Texas Super Kings vs Washington Freedom Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 37% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $150,852 volume
- Resolves
- 18 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
The market prices Texas Super Kings as an underdog, with YES trading at 37%. That’s a decisive gap: Washington Freedom is favored by roughly 26 percentage points. $151k in volume suggests modest but real conviction behind the pricing.
in recent trading has held, so this line has settled into its current shape. To move it meaningfully, you’d need either sharp injury news on a star Texas batter or fast bowler, or a shift in how the market weights home-ground advantage (Washington plays at Aravali Cricket Ground in Delhi). Early-season form once the league begins will also recalibrate: a blowout win by Texas in their opener could compress the gap fast.
This resolves on 18 July 2026 according to Polymarket, with all on-field decisions—DLS adjustments, tiebreak runs, even forfeit—counting as ordinary wins. The price reflects Washington as the clear favorite, but favorites in single T20 matches lose often enough that 37% leaves room for a real contrarian case.
FAQ
What does a 37% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 37% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 37% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the cricket match between Texas Super Kings and Washington Freedom scheduled for July 11 2026 in Major League Cricket. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover,
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.