Would you bet…
Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Texas Super Kings Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 56% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $87,589 volume
- Resolves
- 12 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 4 days ago
Seattle is priced as the favorite here, with 56% backing the Orcas to beat Texas. The market has in recent trading, trading $88k in total volume. That spread—a 46-point gap between the two sides—suggests the market sees Texas as the likely winner, though without recent movement data it’s hard to say whether this line has drifted or held steady.
The resolution hinges on the official match result published by Polymarket, with any on-field ruling—DLS adjustments, Super Overs, or forfeit decisions—counting as an ordinary win. This is a July 2026 fixture, so there’s time for injury news, form updates, and head-to-head analysis to shift the needle. Right now, 44% is where the smart money sits, but the Orcas’ odds will tighten if they arrive in better form or if Texas stumbles heading into the match.
At 56%, you’re betting on the underdog. That’s a fair price only if you see something the market hasn’t priced in yet.
FAQ
What does a 56% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 56% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 56% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the cricket match between Seattle Orcas and Texas Super Kings scheduled for July 5 2026 in Major League Cricket. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or an
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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