Would you bet…
Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Mi New York Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 13% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $82,335 volume
- Resolves
- 9 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 7 days ago
The Orcas-Mi New York match is a long shot, with Seattle priced at 13% to win. $82k in total volume suggests modest interest for a matchup nearly 18 months out. in recent trading has held, which is typical for cricket markets this far in advance—most price discovery happens closer to match day.
What moves this: team rosters will solidify over the next year, and injury news (or notable signings) typically reprices. Venue conditions matter in T20 cricket; Seattle’s home ground will favor certain skill sets. Historical head-to-head records and coaching changes could shift sentiment meaningfully. For now, the market treats both teams as near-equivalents, which makes sense given how much can change before July 2026.
At 13%, you’re essentially saying the Orcas are as likely to win as a coin flip. That’s a fair read for two franchises with limited competitive history. Watch for roster announcements and preseason exhibitions in early 2026—those will be your real price catalysts.
FAQ
What does a 13% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 13% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 13% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the cricket match between Seattle Orcas and Mi New York scheduled for July 2 2026 in Major League Cricket. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any othe
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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