Would you bet…
Granby: Tyler Zink vs Alexis Galarneau Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 10% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $152,431 volume
- Resolves
- 22 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
The market prices Tyler Zink as a long shot, with 10% of the probability. That’s a steep discount—90% favors Galarneau—and $152k in volume suggests modest conviction behind either side. in recent trading has held, which is typical for matches still months out: the weight of new information (ranking shifts, injury reports, head-to-head records) tends to arrive closer to play.
To move this significantly, you’d need either player to post a notable result in the interim, or for their relative ranking to shift materially. A Zink breakthrough on the ATP Challenger circuit, or conversely a Galarneau slip, would ripple through the odds. The resolution clause is tight—any delay past 7 days without a winner voids the bet—so calendar risk exists for late-summer tournaments.
At this price, Zink is a long bet, not a forecast. The market is essentially saying Galarneau is favored on the numbers, but it’s a match between two lower-ranked players in a secondary venue. Close to July 15, 2026, this could tighten or widen depending on form and seeding.
FAQ
What does a 10% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 10% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 10% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Tyler Zink and Alexis Galarneau in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tyler Zink' if Tyler Zink advances against Alexis Galarneau. This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau' if Alexis Gal
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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