Would you bet…
Nottingham 3: Yi Zhou vs Alastair Gray Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 43% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $4,586 volume
- Resolves
- 17 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 5 minutes ago
43% for Yi Zhou reflects an underdog pricing in a matchup with minimal trading history. The market has in recent trading, suggesting either shallow liquidity or genuine uncertainty about the July 10 encounter. With $5k in total volume, this is a thin book—the kind where a single meaningful wager can shift odds noticeably.
To move this price, you’d need either new information about the players’ current form, head-to-head record, or court conditions at Nottingham, or simply more capital testing the current bid-ask spread. The 17 July 2026 mechanics offer a safety valve: any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days settles 50-50, which removes some tail risk for traders.
At 43%, the market is pricing Gray as the more likely winner. Whether that’s sound depends on data you won’t find in the price itself—ranking gaps, recent results, surface history. The current level is a live read, not a recommendation.
FAQ
What does a 43% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 43% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 43% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Yi Zhou and Alastair Gray in the Nottingham 3, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yi Zhou' if Yi Zhou advances against Alastair Gray. This market will resolve to 'Alastair Gray' if Alastair Gray advances
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.