Would you bet…
Lincoln: Yibing Wu vs Yunchaokete Bu Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 6% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $105,882 volume
- Resolves
- 23 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
The market prices Yibing Wu as a long shot, with 6% backing an advance. Volume sits at $106k, and in recent trading has held.
This Lincoln match hinges on the relative ranking and recent form of two players whose ATP/WTA trajectories and head-to-head record will determine the odds’ credibility. The 94% lean suggests the market has clear conviction about Bu’s prospects—either from seeding advantage, recent results, or direct matchup history. Without recent price movement, the current split reflects settled market opinion rather than fresh information.
What moves this: injury or withdrawal news (triggering the 50-50 tie resolution), a rankings shift that reshuffles perceived strength, or late betting activity from those with access to training intelligence closer to July 16. For now, 6% prices Wu as the underdog. That’s a live read, not a judgment.
FAQ
What does a 6% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 6% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 6% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Yibing Wu and Yunchaokete Bu in the Lincoln, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yibing Wu' if Yibing Wu advances against Yunchaokete Bu. This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu adv
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.