Would you bet…
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexis Galarneau Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 72% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $565,222 volume
- Resolves
- 24 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Vukic has held in recent trading, and the market is pricing him as the favorite at 72%. That’s a decisive lean, though the $565k in this match suggests room for repricing if new information surfaces about either player’s form or fitness heading into the July 17 start.
The gap between 72% and 28% reflects a meaningful edge ascribed to Vukic. To move this price meaningfully, you’d need either a reported injury, a recent result that shifts the matchup calculus, or late-breaking news about Galarneau’s preparation. Tennis markets tend to hold steady on lower-volume events until such signals arrive.
The resolution is straightforward: Vukic advances or he doesn’t. The cancellation clause protects against delays beyond a week. At 72%, you’re betting Vukic clears this hurdle. That’s the favorite’s odds, but odds aren’t fate—they’re a live read of the information in hand right now.
FAQ
What does a 72% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 72% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 72% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Alexis Galarneau in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Alexis Galarneau. This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarn
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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