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Newport: Aleksandar Vukic vs Liam Broady Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 10% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $269,374 volume
- Resolves
- 13 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 2 days ago
Vukic is a long shot at 10%, with the market pricing Broady as the clear favorite. $269k in volume suggests modest interest for a first-round ATP 250 match. Without recent movement data—in recent trading—the current split appears to be a stable read on the matchup itself.
The 10% price reflects what the market sees: Broady, a British left-hander ranked in the 150s, as the more likely qualifier to advance. Vukic, an Australian with similar ranking and tour experience, enters as the underdog. Head-to-head records, recent form, and seeding (if applicable) would typically drive this gap; the market has digested those inputs and settled on 90% as the baseline expectation.
Vukic’s price could shift upward on late-breaking news—a Broady injury, withdrawal, or a sharp form read closer to July. Conversely, any evidence of momentum for Broady, or a loss by Vukic in the days before Newport, would likely push him lower. The resolution hinges entirely on the match itself: either Vukic wins in straight or tiebreak sets, or he doesn’t. Until the draw is final and conditions are clear, 10% should be read as a snapshot of current probability, not a forecast.
FAQ
What does a 10% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 10% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 10% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Liam Broady in the Newport, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Liam Broady. This market will resolve to 'Liam Broady' if Liam Bro
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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