Would you bet…
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignon Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 61% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $895,702 volume
- Resolves
- 26 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Tsitsipas is the favorite at 61% to advance past Collignon in this first-round Swiss Open matchup. in recent trading with no recent price movement data available, though $896k in trading suggests modest interest for a lower-profile men’s draw encounter.
The gap between Tsitsipas and Collignon reflects expected performance: Tsitsipas is a top-20 player with Grand Slam pedigree, while Collignon ranks well outside the ATP top 100. The market is pricing a substantial edge to the higher-ranked player on a hard court in what should be a routine match. Surface and recent form matter in tennis—clay favors different players than grass or hard courts—but the seeding gap here is large enough to anchor the price around 61%.
Movement would come from late injury news, unexpected upsets in earlier rounds that alter draw dynamics, or betting information suggesting Collignon’s form is sharper than his ranking indicates. Until then, this price reflects the straightforward proposition that Tsitsipas should win. 26 July 2026 according to the official Swiss Open scoreline.
FAQ
What does a 61% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 61% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 61% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Raphael Collignon in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Raphael Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Ra
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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