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Iasi: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luka Pavlovic Predictions

The market saysProbably not9% YES
YES 9%
91% NO

A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 9% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →

Platform
Polymarket
Volume
$69,134 volume
Resolves
13 Jul 2026
Updated
2 days ago

Frederico Ferreira Silva is a long shot to advance past Luka Pavlovic in Iasi, priced at 9% for the upset. The market has seen in recent trading, with $69k in total volume—modest for a tennis match, which typically reflects limited attention from the prediction-market crowd.

The pricing reflects a clear consensus that Pavlovic is the favored player; the 91% side owns most of the conviction here. Without recent ATP rankings or head-to-head records immediately available, the market is likely pricing on seed positioning or Pavlovic’s known form. For Silva’s odds to move significantly, the market would need fresh information: a late withdrawal by Pavlovic, injury news favoring Silva, or a notable upset in the lead-up that reshuffles perceptions of the matchup.

The match 13 July 2026 on Polymarket. As always with tennis, weather delays and late scratches are built into the risk; the market’s tight two-sided structure reflects that straightforward binary. This price is a snapshot, not a forecast.

FAQ

What does a 9% price mean?

It is the market-implied probability. A 9% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 9% likely.

How does this market resolve?

This market refers to the tennis match between Frederico Ferreira Silva and Luka Pavlovic in the Iasi, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frederico Ferreira Silva' if Frederico Ferreira Silva advances against Luka Pavlovic. This market will resolve to

Where can I trade it?

This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.

Is this the same as sports betting?

Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.

Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?

Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.

Best platforms for sports?

Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.

What is a prediction market?

A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →

How do the odds work?

Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →

Trade this on Polymarket →

Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.