Would you bet…
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 28% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $83,331 volume
- Resolves
- 20 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
The market prices Shimizu as an underdog, with 28% backing his advance. 72% on Friend reflects the betting crowd’s lean toward the higher-ranked or favored player—though the thin volume of $83k means the price could shift on modest new conviction. in recent trading has held, so there’s no clear momentum signal yet this week.
Tennis matchups turn on ranking, recent form, head-to-head record, and surface fit. Without those specifics publicly available here, the current split suggests a modest edge to Shimizu in the market’s view. Friend would need to be ranked significantly higher, or carry notable recent wins, to justify flipping this read substantially.
Watch for any lineup confirmations, injury news, or late roster changes as July 13 approaches. A shift in either player’s seeding or recent results could easily move this by 5–10 points. For now, 28% is priced as the underdog bet, and 72% as the slight favorite—a narrow split that may reflect genuine uncertainty.
FAQ
What does a 28% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 28% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 28% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Jay Dylan Friend in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against Jay Dylan Friend. This market will resolve to 'Jay Dylan Friend' if Jay
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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