Would you bet…
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 95% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $897,396 volume
- Resolves
- 22 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Rublev is all but certain here, priced at 95% to advance past Pellegrino. The market has seen $897k in total volume, though in recent trading has held recently. At these odds, traders are giving Rublev a significant edge—a gap that reflects the difference in ranking and recent form between a top-20 player and a lower-ranked challenger.
The match pivots on Rublev’s consistency and court comfort. Any news about injury or unexpected lineup changes would pressure the price downward; conversely, if Pellegrino sustains an injury or withdraws, expect 95% to move sharply higher. Court conditions and surface preference matter too—Pellegrino would need to exploit any weakness in Rublev’s game or catch him flat in an early round.
The 5% side offers value if you believe Pellegrino’s game suits the moment or Rublev is underprepared. At current levels, this is a live market read, not a certainty. Watch for lineup confirmations closer to the 22 July 2026 date, and monitor Polymarket for any shifts in the narrative.
FAQ
What does a 95% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 95% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 95% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Andrea Pellegrino in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Andrea Pellegrino. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegri
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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