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Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 13% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $117,670 volume
- Resolves
- 20 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Passaro is a long shot here at 13%, a clear lean by traders despite thin volume of $118k. in recent trading suggests conviction has has held behind the higher seed—Passaro, ranked in the 150s on the ATP, does carry form and seeding advantage into this qualifying match against Krumich, a lower-ranked challenger.
The gap between 13% and 87% reflects a competent but not overwhelming edge. Qualification draws are inherently volatile; upsets happen at meaningful rates, and Krumich would need only a strong week to threaten. Head-to-head record, recent court surface form, and serve statistics would be the natural pressure points—any shift in those inputs, or late news on fitness, could move the line in either direction before the July 13 start.
At 13%, the market is pricing Passaro as favored but beatable. That’s a reasonable read for a qualifying duel between mismatched ranks. Monitor for line movement if sharper money arrives or if either player’s prep changes the narrative.
FAQ
What does a 13% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 13% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 13% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Passaro and Martin Krumich in the Swedish Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Passaro' if Francesco Passaro advances against Martin Krumich. This market will resolv
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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