Would you bet…
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowski Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 96% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $58,968 volume
- Resolves
- 19 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Passaro is priced at 96%, a all but certain reading that heavily favors the Italian qualifier. $59k in volume suggests modest conviction behind the move rather than deep liquidity. in recent trading and has has held over the past week, indicating how the market has processed recent information about the matchup.
The price reflects Passaro’s ranking advantage and recent form relative to Kasnikowski. To shift materially, traders would need fresh data—late injury news, a significant upset elsewhere in the draw, or live match developments if the contest begins. Swedish Open qualification draws modest attention and lower trade depth than main-draw events, so even modest new information can move the needle.
At 96%, this is all but certain rather than a lock. The small remaining edge for Kasnikowski exists because qualification matches carry genuine variance, and odds this high leave room for volatility if anything unexpected surfaces between now and the 19 July 2026 settlement date.
FAQ
What does a 96% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 96% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 96% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Passaro and Maks Kasnikowski in the Swedish Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Passaro' if Francesco Passaro advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will re
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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