Would you bet…
Bunschoten: Guy Den Ouden vs Tom Gentzsch Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 61% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $35,595 volume
- Resolves
- 26 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Guy Den Ouden is the favorite at 61%, with Tom Gentzsch at 39%. The market has seen in recent trading, reflecting modest conviction in the Dutch player’s chances. $36k in volume suggests moderate interest for a lower-tier professional matchup.
The price gap of roughly 20 points is meaningful but not dominant—this isn’t a mismatch in the eyes of the market. Den Ouden’s edge likely reflects home-court advantage (Bunschoten is in the Netherlands) or higher ATP ranking, but the spread leaves room for Gentzsch, whose odds still price him as a genuine competitor. No recent price movement means the market hasn’t absorbed new information; both players’ form, injury status, or head-to-head history aren’t shifting trader behavior visibly.
Watch for late shifts if either player’s fitness, seeding, or recent results change materially. The resolution date is firm, and cancellation or delay-past-seven-days would trigger a void, so operational risk is low. At this price, Den Ouden is the favorite, but 39% still offers value if you believe the underdog has been underpriced.
FAQ
What does a 61% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 61% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 61% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Guy Den Ouden and Tom Gentzsch in the Bunschoten, originally scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guy Den Ouden' if Guy Den Ouden advances against Tom Gentzsch. This market will resolve to 'Tom Gentzsch' if Tom Gentzs
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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