Would you bet…
Bunschoten: Ryan Nijboer vs Guy Den Ouden Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 17% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $29,824 volume
- Resolves
- 24 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
Ryan Nijboer is a long shot in this Bunschoten matchup, priced at 17%. The market has in recent trading, reflecting limited trading interest at $30k. The heavily skewed odds suggest either a clear favorite or sparse data on the players themselves.
Without recent movement, the price appears to reflect initial positioning rather than new information. Nijboer would need to acquire credibility—recent wins, ranking improvements, or head-to-head history favoring him—to justify a higher valuation. Conversely, Den Ouden’s dominance in the books could contract if injury reports, form slumps, or concrete matchup data emerge.
The resolution criteria are clean: the market settles on 24 July 2026 via Polymarket, with cancellation or delays beyond a week triggering a no-contest resolution. At current 17%, this is a thin-volume market pricing in a specific outcome; watch for late entry volume or schedule changes to test whether the price holds.
FAQ
What does a 17% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 17% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 17% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Nijboer and Guy Den Ouden in the Bunschoten, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Nijboer' if Ryan Nijboer advances against Guy Den Ouden. This market will resolve to 'Guy Den Ouden' if Guy Den Ou
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.