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Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 25% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $2,252,819 volume
- Resolves
- 13 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 days ago
The market is a long shot, pricing de Minaur at 25% to advance past Cobolli at Wimbledon. That’s a decisive edge, though not overwhelming—there’s still meaningful probability assigned to the Italian qualifier. The $2.25M in volume suggests moderate liquidity; this isn’t a marquee matchup drawing serious money.
De Minaur carries the ranking advantage and has the faster court game Wimbledon rewards. Cobolli, a rising talent, reached the semis at Queen’s this year and has shown he can compete on grass. The price reflects de Minaur as the clearer favorite without treating Cobolli as a write-off. in recent trading has held, indicating traders have already settled on a view.
What moves this next: injury news, late-week form signals, or court conditions that might favor the slower player or underdog. As of now 25% is where the market sits—a working probability, not a forecast. The match resolves on 13 July 2026 via Polymarket.
FAQ
What does a 25% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 25% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 25% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Flavio Cobolli in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
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What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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