Would you bet…
Newport: Adrian Mannarino vs Remy Bertola Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 93% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $45,489 volume
- Resolves
- 14 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 2 days ago
Mannarino is strongly favored at 93% to advance past Bertola in Newport, with $45k in total volume. The market has held in recent trading, suggesting the pricing has largely settled on the favorite. At these odds, traders are pricing in a significant skill or seeding gap, or both players’ recent form heavily favoring the Frenchman.
Mannarino holds the higher ranking and experience in tour-level competition, which typically anchors these kinds of matchups. For the price to shift materially, you’d need to see either unexpected injury news on Mannarino’s side, a late update on Bertola’s form or confidence, or public information suggesting the match conditions (surface, weather, draw position) break sharply in the underdog’s favor. The thin 7% tail leaves little room for surprise value.
This market settles on 14 July 2026 against Polymarket. Note the cancellation clause: if the match doesn’t complete within 7 days of the July 7 date, or ends in a tie, the market resolves ambiguously—a tail risk worth keeping in mind for a summer clay tournament prone to weather delays.
FAQ
What does a 93% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 93% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 93% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Remy Bertola in the Newport, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Remy Bertola. This market will resolve to 'Remy Bertola' if Remy
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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