Would you bet…
Wimbledon ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Martin Landaluce Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 83% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $152,045 volume
- Resolves
- 6 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 2 weeks ago
The market prices Kwon as strongly favored, with 83% backing his advance past Landaluce. Trading volume sits at $152k, modest for a Grand Slam matchup, suggesting limited conviction either way. in recent trading has held, which is typical of matches where neither player has moved decisively into favor.
The gap between 83% and 17% reflects a real seeding or ranking difference—likely Kwon favored on paper—but the price isn’t extreme, implying Landaluce poses a credible threat or the market is uncertain about form, conditions, or recent injury. Wimbledon’s grass and the specific draw context matter here; either player’s recent grass-court results or head-to-head record would sharpen the read.
This market will tighten or shift if new information surfaces: a withdrawal, a breakthrough result from either player in the week before June 29, or significant betting weight from informed sources. For now, 83% is priced as a genuine underdog play, not a long shot. The low volume means wide spreads are likely—treat any move above $152k in the next few days as signal.
FAQ
What does a 83% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 83% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 83% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Soon-Woo Kwon and Martin Landaluce in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Soon-Woo Kwon' if Soon-Woo Kwon advances against Martin Landaluce. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.