Would you bet…
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 83% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $460,321 volume
- Resolves
- 20 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
83% backs de Jong to advance, strongly favored in a matchup with relatively light trading at $460k. in recent trading suggests the market has has held recently, though the core price reflects confidence in the seeded Dutch player.
De Jong enters as the favored player on rating and seeding. Gaubas, a qualifier or lower-ranked entrant, would need to produce an upset to advance. The 83%/17% split tracks how much edge the market is pricing into de Jong’s form, draw position, and recent results—the kind of granular comparison that shifts these prices when new information arrives: injury reports, late withdrawals, or surprise early-round results elsewhere in the draw that alter psychological momentum.
The market resolves on 20 July 2026 via Polymarket. At 83%, you are betting de Jong clears this hurdle; at 17%, you are betting on the underdog or on an unexpected cancellation. As always, the price reflects current consensus, not certainty. Watch for lineup changes and court conditions closer to the match date.
FAQ
What does a 83% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 83% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 83% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Jesper de Jong and Vilius Gaubas in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' if Jesper de Jong advances against Vilius Gaubas. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vi
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
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