Would you bet…
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe Predictions
A YES share pays out if this happens and NO pays out if it doesn’t — so the 18% price is just the market’s implied chance of YES. How YES/NO contracts work →
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Volume
- $122,888 volume
- Resolves
- 20 Jul 2026
- Updated
- 3 months ago
The market prices Imamura as a long shot, with 18% backing his advance over McCabe. $123k in trading volume suggests modest interest in what appears to be a lower-profile matchup on the challenger circuit. in recent trading has held, which is typical for markets on matches weeks out from their 20 July 2026 date.
The price itself reflects uncertainty—neither player is priced as a heavy favorite, which tracks with limited public information on their head-to-head record and current form. To move this market significantly, you’d need either a ranking shift, a notable recent result from either player, or injury news. Tennis markets tend to tighten and recalibrate as match day approaches and more recent form data becomes available.
Current odds suggest the market sees this as genuinely competitive. The 82% floor implies some confidence in McCabe’s chances, but not overwhelming conviction. Trades on Polymarket; resolution settles on 20 July 2026.
FAQ
What does a 18% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability. A 18% YES price means traders collectively judge the event about 18% likely.
How does this market resolve?
This market refers to the tennis match between Masamichi Imamura and James McCabe in the Lincoln, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Masamichi Imamura' if Masamichi Imamura advances against James McCabe. This market will resolve to 'James McCabe' if
Where can I trade it?
This market is listed on Polymarket. Prediction markets carry real financial risk and may not be available in every state.
Is this the same as sports betting?
Legally it’s event-contract trading on a regulated exchange, not a sportsbook bet — though the experience is similar. Read our prediction markets vs sports betting explainer.
Can I trade sports where betting is illegal?
Often yes, because these are federally regulated contracts — but sports is restricted in some states, so always check your state first.
Best platforms for sports?
Kalshi has the broadest catalog; DraftKings and FanDuel are strong for sports-first traders. See our reviews.
What is a prediction market?
A prediction market lets you trade contracts on whether a real-world event will happen. The live price moves with supply and demand and reads as the implied probability. Read more →
How do the odds work?
Every price between 1¢ and 99¢ is the implied chance of YES. A contract settles at $1 if it resolves yes and $0 if it does not. Read more →
Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk and can resolve to zero. 18+.
Before you trade
Read our independent reviews of the platforms behind these markets.